ep. 168


What This Fed Watcher Is On The Lookout For | Colby Smith (February 2023 FOMC)

With the February Fed meeting rapidly approaching, Jack Farley welcomes Colby Smith, U.S. economics editor for the Financial Times (FT), to share her expectations for the February meeting, and her insights about the transmission of the Fed’s policy to the market and the public. She argues that the disconnect between the rate cuts being priced into the interest rate futures market and the Federal Reserve’s own forecasts will be one of the most salient issues at tomorrow’s press conference with Fed Chair Jay Powell. Smith and Farley also discuss the latest economic data, the politics of the Fed, and the looming issue of the U.S. debt ceiling.

Follow Colby Smith on Twitter https://twitter.com/colbyLsmith

Follow Jack on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96

Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/forward_guidance, you’ll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply.


Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter:


Market commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can’t-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research “Daily Debrief” Newsletter: https://rb.gy/feusos

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.



(00:41) Expectations For The Fed's February FOMC Meeting

(09:24) Are Financial Conditions Too Loose?

(18:26) "The Fed's Threshold For Pain Is A Lot Higher"

(25:48) Forward Guidance

(30:55) Curve Ad

(32:00) Employment Costs & Other Economic Data

(37:09) Will The Fed Hike Again In May (After It Likely Hikes Again in March)?

(40:12) New Voting Members on The FOMC

(43:26) Will Powell Be In "Attack Mode" Tomorrow?

(47:49) The Fed's Balance Sheet & Quantitative Tightening (QT)

(51:14) The Debt Ceiling

(53:34) The Fed's Reverse Repo (RRP) Facility

Other Podcasts from our Network