API3 is a collaborative project to deliver traditional API services to smart contract platforms in a decentralized and trust-minimized way. It is governed by a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO), namely the API3 DAO. Therefore, API3's code is open source and its operations are transparent.

Api3

Blockworks

The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Sept 17, setting the federal funds target range at 4% to 4.25%. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) <a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/monetary20250917a1.pdf">cited</a> slowing economic activity, weaker job growth, and persistently elevated inflation as key factors behind the decision. The Fed said risks to employment have risen, while inflation remains above its long-term 2% goal, underscoring the challenge of balancing its dual mandate.



The rate cut marks the latest adjustment in a cycle that began in 2022, when the central bank aggressively raised borrowing costs to combat the highest inflation in four decades. While inflation has since moderated, it has recently moved higher, prompting concerns that price pressures could become entrenched. The Fed also confirmed it will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities, a process known as balance sheet runoff, which tightens financial conditions even as rates fall.



The policy statement revealed a split within the committee. Stephen Miran dissented, favoring a larger 50 basis point cut, highlighting the internal debate over how quickly to ease monetary policy amid uncertainty about the outlook. Chair Jerome Powell and Vice Chair John Williams, along with the majority of members, supported the more incremental move.



The Fed also adjusted supporting tools: it lowered the interest rate on reserve balances to 4.15% and reduced the primary credit rate to 4.25%. The New York Fed’s open market desk will maintain the new target range through operations including repurchase and reverse repurchase agreements.



This is a developing story.



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This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire">Empire</a>: Crypto news and analysis to start your day.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forward-guidance">Forward Guidance</a>: The intersection of crypto, macro and policy.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop">The Drop</a>: Apps, games, memes and more.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

Federal Reserve

Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 25 bps

Byron Gilliam

This is a segment from The Breakdown newsletter. To read more editions, <a href="https://blockworks.co/brand/the-breakdown">subscribe</a>



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<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
​​“The most valuable commodity I know of is information.” — Gordon Gekko, Wall Street
</blockquote>



Ten months ago, FBI agents raided Shayne Coplan’s Manhattan apartment, ostensibly in search of evidence that the prediction market he founded, Polymarket, had illegally allowed US residents to place bets on the US election.



Two weeks ago, the CFTC gave Polymarket the green light to allow those very same US residents to place bets on whatever they like.



This is quite the turn of events — and it’s not just about elections or politics.



With its US government seal of approval in hand, Polymarket is <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/polymarket-sees-valuation-skyrocket-in-new-funding-round-2025-9">reportedly</a> raising capital at a valuation of $9 billion — a reflection of the growing belief that prediction markets will be used for much more than betting on elections once every four years.



Instead, proponents say prediction markets can provide a real service to the world by providing it with better information about nearly everything.



I think they might, too — but only if insiders are free to participate.



Yesterday, for example, Polymarket announced new betting markets on company earnings reports, with a promise that it would improve the information that investors have to work with.&nbsp;



Instead of waiting three months to find out how a company is faring, investors could simply watch the odds on Polymarket.&nbsp;



If the probability of an earnings beat is rising, for example, investors would know at a glance that things are going well.



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1600" height="853" src="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-128.png?w=1024&amp;h=1024" alt="" class="wp-image-107902" srcset="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-128.png?w=1600 1600w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-128.png?w=300 300w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-128.png?w=1024 1024w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-128.png?w=768 768w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-128.png?w=1536 1536w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-128.png?w=428 428w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-128.png?w=470 470w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-128.png?w=389 389w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-128.png?w=80 80w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px" /></figure>



But that will only happen if enough of the people betting actually know how things are going.



Relying on the wisdom of crowds to magically discern how a business is doing won’t add much incremental knowledge to the world; everyone’s guesses are unlikely to average out to the truth.



If company insiders were allowed to bet, however, prediction-market odds would offer a real-time barometer of a company’s fortunes.



This would be an excellent replacement for quarterly earnings reports if President Trump decides to <a href="https://apnews.com/article/trump-quarterly-earnings-reports-sec-semiannual-cd5fbed69b72e7525848bc11109d0d35">ban them</a>.



In some ways, it might even be an improvement: Why incur the trouble and expense of updating investors so frequently when investors can get the basic idea from a chart on Polymarket?



Ideally, you’d want people at all levels of the company participating.



Early in a reporting period, warehouse managers might have the best idea of how sales are going, and their bets would share that anecdotal information with the market.



Late in the reporting period, the finance department would start to know what the earnings number will be, and their bets would share that more precise information with the market.



If that sounds like insider trading to you, that’s because it is.



But that’s no reason to disallow it: Insider trading is the kind of victimless crime that’s not worth policing.&nbsp;



In fact, non-insiders should not feel victimized at all. If you’re wrong, you’d rather sell to someone who knows you’re wrong, because they’ll give you a better price for your bet and you’ll lose less money.&nbsp;



“Lose less money” is admittedly not much of a selling point, but prediction markets are a zero-sum game (at best), so someone has to lose.



Losing is the cost of getting better information.



In Wall Street, Gordon Gekko got new information by presenting Bud Fox with a check over lunch.&nbsp;



“Astonish me, pal,” he instructed Fox. “New info. I don&#8217;t care where or how you get it, just get it.”



Fox did get it, and Gekko then shared his new information with the world by betting on it.



You probably agree with both moviegoers and lawmakers that this seems unfair. It’s hard to sympathize with Michael Douglas as a hedge fund manager with slicked-back hair.



But why would anyone do the hard work of digging up new information for free?



At their best, prediction markets are a way of paying people to dig up new information.



In the last presidential election, for example, prediction markets incentivized an anonymous Polymarket bettor to put their own poll in the field and then share that information with the world by betting on Trump to win.



More recently, Blockworks <a href="https://blockworks.co/news/native-markets-leads-usdh-race/?nocache">reported</a> that the Polymarket odds of Ethena winning the USDH ticker on Hyperliquid collapsed “after validators dismissed its chances behind closed doors.”



This is precisely how prediction markets are meant to work: Polymarket incentivized someone to go get better information — otherwise hidden “behind closed doors” — and then share that information with the world by betting on it.



Unfortunately, doing the same with quarterly earnings reports will almost certainly be illegal.



In its <a href="https://polymarket.com/tos">terms of service</a>, Polymarket prohibits several things that are universally disallowed in financial markets: front-running, wash trading, pre-arranged trading and spoofing.&nbsp;



“Insider trading” is conspicuously absent, however, which is hopeful.



But there’s also a catch-all prohibition against engaging in any activity “that violates Applicable Law.”&nbsp;



In the US, the laws applicable to prediction markets will be made by the CFTC, and the CFTC’s <a href="https://www.cftc.gov/sites/default/files/idc/groups/public/@newsroom/documents/file/amaf_factsheet_final.pdf">rulebook</a> seems to prohibit insider trading: “Depending on all of the facts and circumstances, trading on the basis of material non-public information in breach of a pre-existing duty…may violate final Rule 180.1.”&nbsp;



That is more permissive than the SEC’s blanket prohibition on any use of material non-public information, so it might leave scope for the CFTC to allow insiders to participate in prediction markets.



But I’m not hopeful: Every employee of an exchange-listed company has a “pre-existing duty” not to share their inside information with markets.



This is understandable as a rule designed for stock markets, where it’s important to maintain a sense of fairness.



If people think the stock market is rigged, they’ll be less inclined to invest, and companies will have a harder time raising capital.



But what’s the harm in letting insiders share their information with prediction markets?



No one’s betting their 401k money on Polymarket, so there’s no harm in people thinking that the odds are stacked against them.&nbsp;



(Nor will it stop people from participating. Everyone knows the odds are against them in sports betting, but they keep betting on sports.)



If anything, allowing insiders to trade in prediction markets would make stock markets more fair by disseminating information to everyone at the same time.



Without insiders, we’ll learn how uninformed people think a company is doing, which isn’t very helpful.



With insiders, we&#8217;ll learn how informed people know a company is doing, which is.&nbsp;



The purpose of prediction markets is to provide better information to the world, and the best information comes from insiders, so they should be encouraged to participate — even if that means we have to pay them.



“It&#8217;s all about bucks,” Gordon Gekko explained to Bud Fox.&nbsp;



“The rest is conversation.”



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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire">Empire</a>: Crypto news and analysis to start your day.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forward-guidance">Forward Guidance</a>: The intersection of crypto, macro and policy.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop">The Drop</a>: Apps, games, memes and more.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

The Breakdown Newsletter

Let insiders trade

Kalshi, the US-regulated prediction market exchange, rolled out a new program on Wednesday called KalshiEco Hub.



The initiative, <a href="https://x.com/Kalshi/status/1968307024799879505">developed</a> in partnership with Solana and Coinbase-backed Base, is <a href="https://x.com/base/status/1968313776740225179">designed</a> to attract builders, traders, and content creators to a growing ecosystem around prediction markets. By combining its regulatory footing with crypto-native infrastructure, Kalshi said it is aiming to become a bridge between traditional finance and onchain innovation.



The hub offers grants, technical assistance, and marketing support to selected projects. Kalshi also announced that it will support native deposits of Solana’s SOL token and USDC stablecoin, making it easier for users already active in crypto to participate directly.



Early collaborators include <a href="https://x.com/Kalshinomics/status/1968322941290172445">Kalshinomics</a>, a dashboard for market analytics, and <a href="https://x.com/VersoTrading/status/1968319644533682223">Verso</a>, which is building professional-grade tools for market discovery and execution. Other partners, such as <a href="https://x.com/brianjckim/status/1968321917657723081">Caddy</a>, are exploring ways to expand retail-facing trading experiences.



Kalshi’s move to embrace blockchain partnerships comes at a time when prediction markets are drawing fresh attention for their ability to capture sentiment around elections, economic policy, and cultural events.



Competitor Polymarket recently <a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/polymarket-acquires-cftc-licensed-exchange-and-clearinghouse-qcex-for-112-million-302509626.html">acquired</a> QCEX — a derivatives exchange with a CFTC license — to pave its way back into US operations under regulatory compliance. At the same time, platforms like PredictIt continue to push for a clearer regulatory footing.



The legal terrain remains complex, with some states <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/massachusetts-accuses-kalshi-running-illegal-sports-wagering-operation-2025-09-12/?utm_source=chatgpt.com">issuing</a> cease-and-desist orders over whether these event contracts count as gambling, not finance.



This is a developing story.



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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<ul class="wp-block-list">
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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/0xresearch">0xResearch</a>: Alpha in your inbox. Think like an analyst. </li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire">Empire</a>: Crypto news and analysis to start your day.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forward-guidance">Forward Guidance</a>: The intersection of crypto, macro and policy.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop">The Drop</a>: Apps, games, memes and more.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

Base

Kalshi debuts ecosystem hub with Solana and Base

The New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) has instructed banking organizations under its supervision to adopt blockchain analytics tools as part of their compliance frameworks.



The notice, <a href="https://www.dfs.ny.gov/industry-guidance/industry-letters/il20250917-blockchain">issued</a> on Sept. 17, applies to state-chartered banks and branches of foreign institutions licensed in New York. Superintendent Adrienne Harris suggested the move reflects increasing exposure to digital assets through both customer activity and bank-led virtual currency initiatives.



The department first issued guidance in April 2022 requiring licensed virtual currency firms to employ blockchain analytics to trace transactions and assess risk. It later expanded oversight in December 2022, mandating prior approval for new or materially different virtual currency-related activity.



With traditional banks now engaging in similar activities, the regulator said analytics tools should be used to screen customer wallets, verify fund origins, monitor exposure to high-risk virtual asset service providers, and detect money laundering or sanctions evasion.



NYDFS emphasized that the guidance is not a formal rulemaking but a supervisory expectation. Institutions are expected to tailor controls to their risk appetite and business models, while reassessing them regularly as market conditions evolve.



The regulator warned that growing adoption of digital assets increases the potential for illicit finance. “Covered institutions play a critical role in safeguarding the integrity of the financial ecosystem,” the agency said in its notice.&nbsp;



The directive underscores New York’s role as one of the strictest crypto oversight regimes in the United States, alongside its BitLicense framework.



This is a developing story.



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire">Empire</a>: Crypto news and analysis to start your day.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forward-guidance">Forward Guidance</a>: The intersection of crypto, macro and policy.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop">The Drop</a>: Apps, games, memes and more.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

Banking

New York regulator directs banks to use blockchain analytics

At EDCON 2025 in Osaka, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin delivered fresh details of Ethereum’s technical roadmap, delineating both short-term scaling goals and longer-term protocol transformations.



The immediate priority, <a href="https://x.com/_FORAB/status/1968167088784281921">according</a> to slides from the presentation, is scaling at the L1 level by raising the gas limit while maintaining decentralization. Tools such as block-level access lists, ZK-EVMs, gas repricing, and slot optimization were highlighted as means to improve throughput and efficiency.



A central theme of the presentation was privacy, divided into protections for on-chain “writes” (transactions, voting, DeFi operations) and “reads” (retrieving blockchain state). Write privacy could be achieved through client-side zero-knowledge proofs, encrypted voting, and mixnet-based transaction relays.



Read privacy efforts include trusted execution environments, private information retrieval techniques, dummy queries to obscure access patterns, and partial state nodes that reveal only necessary data. These measures aim to reduce information leakage across both ends of user interaction.



In the medium term, Ethereum’s focus shifts to cross-Layer-2 interoperability. Vitalik described trustless L2 asset transfers, proof aggregation, and faster settlement mechanisms as key milestones toward a seamless rollup ecosystem. Faster slots and stronger finality, supported by techniques like erasure coding and three-stage finalization (3SF), are also in scope to enhance responsiveness and security. The roadmap also includes Stage 2 rollup advancements to strengthen verification efficiency, alongside a call for broader community participation to help build and maintain these improvements.



The long-term “Lean Ethereum” blueprint emphasizes security, simplicity and optimization, with ambitions for quantum-resistant cryptography, formal verification of the protocol, and adoption of ideal primitives for hashing, signatures, and zero-knowledge proofs. Buterin stressed that these improvements are not just for scalability but to make Ethereum a stable, trustworthy foundation for the broader decentralized ecosystem.



This is a developing story.



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This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire">Empire</a>: Crypto news and analysis to start your day.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forward-guidance">Forward Guidance</a>: The intersection of crypto, macro and policy.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop">The Drop</a>: Apps, games, memes and more.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

Ethereum

Vitalik Buterin lays out new Ethereum roadmap at EDCON

Botanix Labs has launched stBTC, a liquid staking token designed to turn Bitcoin into a yield-bearing asset by redistributing network gas fees directly to users.



The protocol will begin yield accrual later this week, with its Genesis Vault <a href="https://botanixlabs.com/blog/introducing-stbtc-cold-hard-bitcoin-yield-on-botanix">scheduled</a> to open on Sept. 25, capped at 50 BTC. The initiative marks one of the first attempts to generate Bitcoin-native yield without relying on inflationary token models or centralized custodians.



stBTC works by allowing users to deposit Bitcoin into Botanix’s permissionless smart contract, receiving stBTC tokens that represent their share of the staking vault. As transactions occur, 50% of Botanix network gas fees, paid in BTC, flow back to stBTC holders.



Over time, the value of stBTC increases relative to BTC, enabling users to redeem their original deposit plus yield. Botanix estimates early returns could reach 20–50% annually before stabilizing around 6–8%, a level similar to Ethereum staking but fully denominated in Bitcoin.



Botanix says that security audits have been completed by Spearbit and Sigma Prime, and the protocol is built on the EIP-4626 vault standard, which also underpins Ethereum-based staking products.



The company’s Spiderchain architecture, operated by 16 independent entities including Galaxy, Alchemy, and Fireblocks, secures the network. If adoption grows, Botanix argues the system could make Bitcoin a productive, composable asset for decentralized finance, while reinforcing network consensus.



This is a developing story.



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This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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Bitcoin

Botanix launches stBTC to deliver Bitcoin-native yield

Wormhole is changing how its W token works by creating a new reserve designed to hold value for the long term. <a href="https://wormhole.com/blog/wormhole-announces-w-token-2-0-upgrade">Announced</a> on Wednesday, the Wormhole Reserve will collect onchain and offchain revenues and other value generated across the protocol and its applications (including Portal) and accumulate them into W, locking the tokens within the reserve.



The reserve is part of a broader update called W 2.0. Other changes include a 4% targeted base yield for tokenholders who stake and take part in governance. While staking rewards will vary, Wormhole said active users of ecosystem apps can earn boosted yields through features like Portal Earn.



The team stressed that no new tokens are being minted; rewards come from existing supply and protocol revenues, keeping the cap fixed at 10 billion.



Wormhole is also overhauling its token release schedule. Instead of releasing large amounts of W at once under the old “cliff” model, the network will shift to steady, bi-weekly unlocks starting October 3, 2025.



The aim is to avoid sharp periods of selling pressure and create a more predictable environment for investors. Lockups for some groups, including validators and investors, will extend an additional six months, until October 2028. Core contributor tokens remain under longer contractual time locks.



Wormhole launched in 2020 as a cross-chain bridge and now connects more than 40 blockchains. The W token powers governance and staking, with a capped supply of 10 billion. By redirecting fees and revenues into the new reserve, Wormhole is betting that its token can maintain value as demand for moving assets and data between chains grows.



This is a developing story.



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop">The Drop</a>: Apps, games, memes and more.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

Wormhole launches reserve tying protocol revenue to token

Ethereum Layer 2 project Taiko has named Chainlink Data Streams as its official oracle infrastructure, introducing sub-second, tamper-proof market data across its rollup network.



The integration, <a href="https://taiko.mirror.xyz/s45LBZf_0OwIRc4j2kJv0hFAJG1hEvxL4g94OcXraiI">announced</a> Wednesday, is designed to accelerate DeFi application development on Taiko’s based rollup architecture, which relies on Ethereum validators for transaction sequencing and censorship resistance.



Chainlink oracles, which have already secured more than $100 billion in decentralized finance (DeFi) activity, have facilitated over $25 trillion in transaction value. By embedding Chainlink’s infrastructure into its ecosystem, Taiko aims to give developers access to liquidity-weighted bid-ask spreads, flexible reporting schemas, and institutional-grade market data.



The integration also allows macroeconomic data, including figures from the US Department of Commerce, to be posted onchain.



Taiko Chief Operating Officer Joaquin Mendes said adopting Chainlink ensures the network has “secure, high-fidelity market data” that can support advanced financial products such as lending protocols and derivatives platforms.&nbsp;



Mendes emphasized the project’s alignment with Ethereum’s decentralization ethos and its ambition to attract institutional capital.



Chainlink Labs’ Chief Business Officer Johann Eid said the partnership positions Taiko to “unlock significant DeFi innovation” while providing institutions with reliable infrastructure. Beyond DeFi, the collaboration is framed as a step toward enabling tokenized real-world assets and enterprise smart contract applications.



This is a developing story.



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This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire">Empire</a>: Crypto news and analysis to start your day.</li>



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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop">The Drop</a>: Apps, games, memes and more.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

Chainlink

Taiko adopts Chainlink oracles to power market data

Bullish has secured a coveted BitLicense from the New York State Department of Financial Services, clearing the way for the crypto exchange to operate in one of the toughest US jurisdictions.



The license, <a href="https://bullish.com/news-insights/news/bullish-secures-new-york-bitlicense-from-the-nydfs-paving-way-for-u-s-launch/">confirmed</a> in a company statement on Wednesday, positions Bullish to expand into the American market after years of focusing abroad.



New York’s BitLicense, created in 2015, is widely seen as one of the strictest state regimes for digital asset firms. It requires licensees to meet stringent anti-money laundering and know-your-customer standards, hold sufficient reserves, and demonstrate strong cybersecurity protections. Fewer than 40 firms have obtained the license to date, underscoring the regulatory hurdles facing newcomers. Blockchain firms have long cited US entry as risky because of murky rules and aggressive enforcement by regulators. However, the current administration has brought about rapid changes aimed at clarifying the playing field, leading to a perceived opening for exchanges seeking to establish credibility in the world’s largest capital market.



For Bullish, the approval eliminates a major barrier to US entry and could help attract institutional investors who value regulatory clarity. Still, that approval is only the first step: License holders remain under close scrutiny and must file detailed reports to maintain good standing.



This is a developing story.



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This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire">Empire</a>: Crypto news and analysis to start your day.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forward-guidance">Forward Guidance</a>: The intersection of crypto, macro and policy.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop">The Drop</a>: Apps, games, memes and more.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

Bullish

Bullish secures New York BitLicense from NYDFS, paving way for US launch

CME Group is preparing to launch options on SOL and XRP futures next month, giving traders new ways to manage exposure to the two assets.&nbsp;



The contracts are set to go live on October 13, pending regulatory approval, and will come in both standard and micro sizes with expiries offered daily, monthly and quarterly.



The new <a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/cme-group-to-launch-options-on-solana-and-xrp-futures-302558956.html">listings</a> mark a major step for CME, which first brought bitcoin futures to market in 2017 and added ether contracts in 2021. Solana and XRP futures have quickly gained traction since their debut earlier this year.



CME says more than 540,000 Solana contracts (worth about $22.3 billion), and 370,000 XRP contracts (worth $16.2 billion), have already been traded. Both products hit record trading activity and open interest in August.



Market makers including Cumberland and FalconX plan to support the new contracts, arguing that institutional investors want hedging tools beyond bitcoin and ether. CME’s move also highlights the growing demand for regulated ways to access a broader set of digital assets.



The launch, which still needs the green light from regulators, follows the end of XRP’s years-long legal fight with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. A federal court ruling in 2023 found that institutional sales of XRP violated securities laws, but programmatic exchange sales did not. The case officially closed in August 2025 after Ripple agreed to pay a $125 million fine, removing one of the biggest uncertainties hanging over the token.



This is a developing story.



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This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire">Empire</a>: Crypto news and analysis to start your day.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forward-guidance">Forward Guidance</a>: The intersection of crypto, macro and policy.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop">The Drop</a>: Apps, games, memes and more.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

CME Group

CME Group to launch Solana and XRP futures options in October

Forward Industries is continuing to bet big on Solana. The Nasdaq-listed company said on Wednesday that it will raise up to $4 billion through an at-the-market equity program, with proceeds aimed at expanding its SOL holdings.



The program, arranged with Cantor Fitzgerald, <a href="https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250916485458/en/Forward-Industries-Announces-%244-Billion-At-The-Market-Equity-Offering-Program">allows</a> Forward to sell shares directly into the market over time instead of in a single issuance. The company said the flexible structure will support its Solana-focused treasury strategy, which has already included the purchase of more than 6.8 million SOL this year.



Chairman Kyle Samani described the program as a way to keep building the company’s Solana position while giving it room to fund other growth initiatives. Forward’s strategy is backed by investors including Galaxy Digital, Jump Crypto, and Multicoin Capital, positioning it as one of the largest public firms centered on Solana rather than Bitcoin or Ethereum.



Forward acknowledged that its stock price may become tightly linked to the value of SOL, a token known for sharp volatility. US regulators have also raised questions about how companies account for and disclose crypto holdings, leaving open the possibility of shifting compliance requirements.



Still, the scale of the raise highlights how some public companies are using traditional capital markets to double down on digital asset strategies. If fully executed, the $4 billion program would make Forward one of the most aggressive corporate buyers of Solana to date.



This is a developing story.



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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<ul class="wp-block-list">
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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire">Empire</a>: Crypto news and analysis to start your day.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forward-guidance">Forward Guidance</a>: The intersection of crypto, macro and policy.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop">The Drop</a>: Apps, games, memes and more.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

DATs

Forward Industries launches $4B Solana treasury equity plan

Kraken announced on Wednesday that it has partnered with Circle to expand access to USD Coin (USDC) and launch support for Circle’s euro-backed stablecoin, EURC.



Kraken says the <a href="https://blog.kraken.com/news/circle-partnership">move</a> will provide its clients with deeper liquidity, reduced conversion fees, and new ways to deploy stablecoins across the exchange’s suite of financial applications. Circle, the issuer of USDC and EURC, has positioned its products as fully reserved and regulated alternatives to traditional banking rails.



USDC, first launched in 2018, has become one of the most widely used dollar stablecoins, while EURC extends that model to Europe’s common currency. Kraken first listed stablecoins in 2017 and has seen accelerating demand as regulatory clarity improves in key jurisdictions.



Kraken Global Head of Consumer Business Mark Greenberg said stablecoins are “permissionless, programmable and global by default,” emphasizing their alignment with crypto’s original design.&nbsp;



Circle Chief Commercial Officer Kash Razzaghi highlighted the company’s ambition to build the world’s largest stablecoin network by partnering with established trading venues like Kraken.



The announcement follows broader industry trends where exchanges and issuers are working to integrate stablecoins into payments, lending, and settlement systems. Kraken indicated more product details tied to the partnership will be released in the coming months.



This is a developing story.



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



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<ul class="wp-block-list">
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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire">Empire</a>: Crypto news and analysis to start your day.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forward-guidance">Forward Guidance</a>: The intersection of crypto, macro and policy.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop">The Drop</a>: Apps, games, memes and more.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

Circle

Kraken and Circle expand stablecoin access with USDC, EURC integration

Ben Strack

This is a segment from the Forward Guidance newsletter. To read full editions, <a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forward-guidance">subscribe</a>.



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



We focused on bitcoin’s trajectory yesterday. But I didn’t want to leave out ether and how <a href="https://blockworks.co/news/record-crypto-product-inflows-july-eth">institutional interest</a> in the asset has driven recent momentum.



Just look at the pace at which companies are buying ETH and the simultaneous influx of capital into ETFs holding the asset, particularly compared to BTC.



US bitcoin ETFs last week restored order, so to speak — tallying about $2.3 billion of net inflows, compared to ~$640 million for ether ETFs. This is a turnaround from several recent weeks, during which ETH ETFs rather surprisingly welcomed the lion’s share of new money into crypto investment products.



Blockworks Research <a href="https://app.blockworksresearch.com/analytics/crypto-etfs">data</a> shows how ETH ETF inflows surged in July and August — with those products seeing more inflows (or less outflows) than bitcoin ETFs for six straight weeks:



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1600" height="898" src="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-126.png?w=1024&amp;h=1024" alt="" class="wp-image-107884" srcset="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-126.png?w=1600 1600w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-126.png?w=300 300w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-126.png?w=1024 1024w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-126.png?w=768 768w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-126.png?w=1536 1536w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-126.png?w=428 428w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-126.png?w=465 465w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-126.png?w=389 389w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-126.png?w=80 80w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px" /></figure>



The ETH ETF inflows have come as several crypto treasury companies have been buying ether at scale.&nbsp;



Within roughly the same period as the ETH ETF inflow momentum, companies have bought more ETH than BTC in nine of the last 10 full weeks (we’re still early in the most recent week displayed):



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1600" height="916" src="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=1024&amp;h=1024" alt="" class="wp-image-107885" srcset="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=1600 1600w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=300 300w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=1024 1024w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=768 768w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=1536 1536w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=428 428w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=456 456w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=383 383w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=80 80w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px" /></figure>



Touting the largest ETH treasury is BitMine Immersion Technologies, which said Monday it now holds more than 2.1 million ETH (worth nearly $10 billion). It’s not hard to find BitMine Chair Tom Lee on television talking about ETH’s potential. For those who don’t know what television is, you can catch his CNBC interviews on the <a href="https://x.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1967760079241032076">internet</a>, too.



Of course, companies like BitMine and <a href="https://blockworks.co/news/bitcoin-treasury-strategies-sharplink-eth">SharpLink Gaming</a> are buying ETH itself, not the ETFs. So why exactly are we seeing the ETF inflows and corporate ETH buying coinciding?



It’s perhaps as simple as there being a clearer narrative for Ethereum now, Bloomberg Intelligence’s James Seyffart told me. He noted Tom Lee’s interviews as likely contributing to the demand.&nbsp;



“Combined with the fact that ETH bottomed and took off like a rocket ship and people are piling on,” Seyffart said. “Throw in the [digital asset treasury companies’] narrative and it’s all contributing to the price and flows for ETH and ETH ETFs.”



ETH holds the YTD return edge over BTC, 35% to 25%. Here’s what <a href="https://app.blockworksresearch.com/assets/eth?interval=1m">ETH price</a> has done in the last month, as of 2 pm ET:



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1600" height="916" src="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=1024&amp;h=1024" alt="" class="wp-image-107886" srcset="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=1600 1600w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=300 300w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=1024 1024w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=768 768w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=1536 1536w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=428 428w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=456 456w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=383 383w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/image-127.png?w=80 80w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px" /></figure>



But bitcoin ETFs are likely to remain dominant in the flow category in the long term given their simpler proposition as a digital store of value, Seyffart added. Even with the recent ETH ETF momentum, global BTC products have the net inflow edge in 2025: ~$24 billion to ~$12 billion.



“That said, if [ETH] gets to a point where its market value surpasses bitcoin, it&#8217;s likely the ETF side of things would follow suit,” he noted.&nbsp;



Currently at $2.3 trillion for BTC and $540 billion for ETH, that would take a lot.&nbsp;



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Near- and long-term ETH expectations&nbsp;&nbsp;</h2>



I’ve written how industry watchers expect a 25bps rate cut from the Fed tomorrow, given soft labor market data. Lower rates generally support risk assets like BTC and ETH.&nbsp;



That said, the bar for a positive surprise is now high, said LMAX Group’s Joel Kruger. “With aggressive Fed easing already priced in, any indication that the committee is less dovish than anticipated could disappoint markets, lifting yields and weighing on equities and crypto alike,” he told me.



Longer-term, Hashdex CIO Samir Kerbage <a href="https://hashdex.com/en-US/insights/crypto-s-sleeping-giant-is-waking-ethereum-s-current-investment-case">wrote</a> that ETH’s role as “global plumbing” strengthens as infrastructure scales and tokenization explodes. He expects ETH to surpass $10,000 “once we start to see stablecoin solutions being implemented for US payments.”



As per usual, time will tell.



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</ul>

bitcoin etf

ETH’s run vs. BTC: Finished, or early days?

Keyrock announced its acquisition of Luxembourg-registered alternative investment fund manager Turing Capital for nearly $30 million.



The firm also <a href="https://keyrock.com/launching-asset-wealth-management/">revealed</a> that it will launch a dedicated Asset &amp; Wealth Management division, led by Turing co-founder Jorge Schnura.



The firm has submitted a MiCA application with Liechtenstein’s Financial Market Authority to expand into portfolio management and advisory services, a filing now under review. The move extends Keyrock’s core market making, OTC and options business toward longer-term investment strategies and on-chain wealth products, adding Turing’s fund structure and systematic strategies to Keyrock’s trading infrastructure.



Kevin de Patoul, CEO of Keyrock, stated: “We’re proud to officially launch Keyrock Asset and Wealth Management and welcome the Turing Capital team into our fold.” He added: “This expansion positions us to better serve our institutional partners across the full spectrum of digital assets, from liquidity provision to long-term investment strategies.”



MiCA has been <a href="https://www.fma-li.li/en/financial-intermediaries/asset-management-and-markets-division/activities-under-micar/crypto-asset-service-providers?utm_source=chatgpt.com">pre-implemented</a> in Liechtenstein, with the FMA accepting applications since February 2025, positioning the principality as a gateway for EEA-wide permissions. Keyrock already holds TVTG registration in Liechtenstein and enhanced PSAN status in France, milestones it flagged in late 2024 as it prepared for MiCA.



Regulatory approvals for any new MiCA-scoped services remain pending, and product details were not provided. As with new launches, risks include licensing timelines, custody and valuation controls, and strategy execution in volatile markets.



This is a developing story.



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

M&amp;A

Keyrock buys Turing Capital for nearly $30M, launches asset arm

Binance Holdings Ltd. is reportedly in discussions with the US Department of Justice over whether it can shed a key oversight condition from its record $4.3 billion settlement.



Bloomberg <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-16/binance-nears-deal-to-escape-compliance-monitor-imposed-by-doj?taid=68c99a7c4a6caf0001de34c0&amp;utm_campaign=trueanthem&amp;utm_content=business&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_source=twitter">reported</a> Tuesday that prosecutors are considering whether to relax the three-year monitorship, which was imposed after Binance admitted in 2023 that it failed to prevent money laundering. The Justice Department has yet to reach a decision, but revisiting the deal could reflect a broader recalibration of how corporate monitorships are applied.



For decades, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/us-judge-questions-doj-decision-drop-boeing-independent-monitor-2025-09-03/">outside monitors</a> have been a standard tool in DOJ settlements involving bribery, sanctions violations and financial fraud. While they are meant to prevent repeat misconduct, critics argue that the cost and disruption often outweigh the benefits.&nbsp;



In a memo earlier this year, Matthew Galeotti, who heads the department’s Criminal Division, <a href="https://www.justice.gov/criminal/media/1400036/dl">acknowledged</a> the tension, noting both the advantages and burdens of mandatory oversight.



The Binance case is exceptional for both the scale of the penalty and its intersection with US politics. Founder Changpeng Zhao served four months in prison after entering a guilty plea.



The exchange has also worked on a stablecoin project with World Liberty Financial, a venture tied to Trump’s family. Since returning to office, Trump has advanced crypto-friendly policies, and the Securities and Exchange Commission has paused or abandoned several investigations, including some that involved Binance.



Binance remains under dual oversight, with a second monitor still required by the Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network. Whether the DOJ will follow its recent pattern and terminate the monitorship is uncertain, but any change would mark a major development in the largest enforcement action ever against a crypto exchange.



This is a developing story.



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forward-guidance">Forward Guidance</a>: The intersection of crypto, macro and policy.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop">The Drop</a>: Apps, games, memes and more.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana.</li>



<li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supply-shock">Supply Shock</a>: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.</li>
</ul>

Binance

Binance in talks with DOJ to end compliance monitor: Bloomberg

The UK government is preparing to announce expanded cooperation with the United States on cryptocurrency regulation, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday.



The move would <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/3b814ced-16f5-45f4-815d-cbfb8d2c63a6">align</a> oversight frameworks and strengthen supervision of digital asset markets, which have grown significantly in both jurisdictions. Coordination will likely focus on market conduct, anti-money laundering (AML) standards, and stablecoin regulation, areas where fragmented approaches have raised concerns among policymakers.



The UK has positioned itself as a potential global hub for digital assets, with recent legislation covering stablecoins and digital settlement assets. The nation’s draft crypto-asset regime, <a href="https://www.addleshawgoddard.com/en/insights/insights-briefings/2025/financial-regulation/financial-regulation-in-the-know-payments-june-2025/long-awaited-draft-framework-uk-regulatory-regime-cryptoassets-has-arrived/">published</a> in April 2025, is a key piece of the <a href="https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/680f6387faff81833fcae94b/0302425_draft_RAO_SI.pdf">backdrop</a> to these US-UK coordination talks.



Under the draft Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Regulated Activities and Miscellaneous Provisions) (Cryptoassets) Order 2025, the government would formally bring “qualifying cryptoassets” and “qualifying stablecoins” under the regulatory perimeter of the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). The reforms include proposals for conduct and prudential requirements for firms issuing stablecoins and for custodians safeguarding cryptoassets.



In the US, meanwhile, the passage of the GENIUS Act in July 2025 sets out one of the first comprehensive federal regulatory frameworks specifically for stablecoins, including detailed rules on reserve backing, audits, and transparency.



A coordinated transatlantic approach could reduce regulatory arbitrage, where firms exploit gaps between jurisdictions. The announcement comes at a time when several countries, including members of the EU and Asia-Pacific, are finalizing their own crypto rulebooks. Alignment between the US and UK may pressure other jurisdictions to harmonize standards.



This is a developing story.



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This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jeffrey Albus</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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