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Decoding crypto and the markets. Daily, with Byron Gilliam.

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The sUSDe term structure on Pendle reveals the market’s expectations channel, offering a forward-looking signal to changes in the cost of carry, price level of BTC, and all metrics downstream of these. Historical data supports the hypothesis that the term structure can be used to forecast market regimes, with steep backwardation signalling a bearish outlook while contango is bullish.

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