Ben Strack

<div id="highlights-block_61d72c54a5e0d" class="highlights">
 <ul>
 <li>The metaverse is currently a challenging environment to invest in, according to ETF Trends Managing Editor Lara Crigger</li>
 <li>VanEck’s Gold and Bitcoin Strategy ETF is a unique product to keep an eye on, industry watchers say</li>
 </ul>
 
</div>



Several more metaverse ETFs will likely become available to US investors this year, industry professionals said, though the prospect of spot bitcoin and ether futures products remain less clear.&nbsp;



Fund managers <a href="https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001364608/000144554621006106/etf2_485a.htm" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">First Trust</a> and <a href="https://cms.blockworks.co/proshares-files-for-metaverse-etf/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">ProShares</a> filed for metaverse ETFs last month. The filings followed <a href="https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1650149/000089418921007293/subversivecombined485adocs.htm" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Subversive Capital’s plans</a> — disclosed in October — to launch a metaverse ETF with the planned ticker PUNK.



There are already a few metaverse-focused ETFs trading in the US. Roundhill Investments’ Roundhill Ball Metaverse ETF (META), which launched in June, has roughly $950 million in assets, according to ETF.com. Exchange Traded Concepts launched the Fount Metaverse ETF (MTVR) in October, and that fund has about $14 million in assets.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;



Though more people seem to be realizing that digital assets and digital infrastructure is the way of the future, the metaverse is “a little thin on the ground when it comes to investability,” according to Lara Crigger, managing editor of <a href="https://www.etftrends.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">ETF Trends</a>.



“I don’t really know that the industry has the bandwidth to support more than one of these funds, or maybe one or two,” she said during a Jan. 4 <a href="https://etfprime.com" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">ETF Prime podcast</a> hosted by The ETF Store President Nate Geraci.



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">“Maybe in a few years the picture’s going to look different, but for now I think you’re going to see a lot of crossover in holdings among these funds and a lot of non-pure-play names in the portfolios.”</blockquote>



META’s top five holdings are NVIDIA, Meta Platforms (formerly known as Facebook), Roblox, Microsoft and Unity Software. Tech behemoths Apple and Amazon are also within the top 10 holdings.&nbsp;



Meanwhile, Apple is MTVR’s number one holding with a 14.7% weighting, according to ETF.com. Meta Platforms is second at 6.4%, followed by Alphabet, Pearl Abyss and Kakao Games.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Spot bitcoin versus ether futures</h3>



Crigger and Geraci said they don’t expect the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to approve a spot bitcoin ETF in 2022.



Though Bloomberg Intelligence Analyst James Seyffart agreed during the podcast that a spot bitcoin ETF in the US is unlikely this year, he noted that the SEC’s rulings on other types of ETFs could signal the fate of such products.



The SEC approved several bitcoin futures ETFs in 2021 that were filed under the Investment Company Act of 1940. These were exempt from the 19b-4 process, Seyffart noted, which puts the onus on the applicant to allay the concerns of the SEC&#8217;s Division of Trading and Markets.



But the agency will likely rule in April on futures-based bitcoin products from <a href="https://teucrium.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Teucrium</a> and <a href="https://cms.blockworks.co/?s=valkyrie" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Valkyrie Investments</a>, which were filed under the Securities Act of 1933 — the regulation under which spot bitcoin ETFs are filed.&nbsp;



The SEC has <a href="https://cms.blockworks.co/sec-rejects-vanecks-proposed-spot-bitcoin-etf/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">denied proposed spot bitcoin ETFs </a>in recent months, citing that bitcoin markets lack surveillance and may be subject to manipulation.



“What this does is it kind of opens the SEC to a form of attack,” Seyffart said of the upcoming rulings on the proposed products by Teucrium and Valkyrie. “They kind of have to make a decision here. They’ve been very iffy on their reasoning, and they haven’t defined what a market of significant size is.”



Grayscale Investments <a href="https://cms.blockworks.co/grayscale-files-to-convert-its-bitcoin-trust-into-an-etf/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">filed to convert</a> the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) to an ETF. The firm subsequently <a href="https://cms.blockworks.co/grayscale-attorneys-argue-sec-for-spot-bitcoin-etf-approval/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">argued in a letter</a> that the approval of bitcoin futures-based ETFs, but not spot ETFs like GBTC, is “arbitrary and capricious.” Such rulings violate the Administrative Procedure Act (APA), the letter states, which requires federal agencies to treat “like situations alike.”



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">“If Grayscale is denied in the beginning of July…to convert GBTC, I could see Grayscale filing an APA lawsuit to try to go there,” Seyffart said. “Maybe the SEC decides they don’t want to deal with that.”</blockquote>



Seyffart also reiterated <a href="https://cms.blockworks.co/when-could-an-ethereum-futures-etf-hit-the-us-market/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">his stance</a> to Geraci during the podcast that he expects an ether futures-based ETF to gain approval before a spot bitcoin fund.&nbsp;



Derivatives marketplace CME Group launched ether futures in February, citing an increased institutional demand for transparent, exchange-listed crypto derivatives. CME Group introduced bitcoin futures in December 2017.



Geraci agreed with Seyffart, noting, “I just think for consistency, the SEC is going to have a bit of a more difficult time not approving that after approving the CME-traded bitcoin futures ETFs.”



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Other crypto-related ETFs on the way in 2022</h3>



Grayscale <a href="https://cms.blockworks.co/grayscale-seeks-to-launch-its-first-equity-etf/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">filed in November to launch</a> its first equity ETF. The proposed Future of Finance ETF (GFOF) would track an index consisting of US and non-U.S. equity securities involved in the advancement of the digital economy.



“I believe that the most exciting thing about the digital economy is how early it still is,” Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein said in <a href="https://grayscale.com/2022-h1-ceo-investor-letter/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">an investor letter</a> published on Thursday.&nbsp;



Another product likely to be approved in the coming months is the VanEck Gold and Bitcoin Strategy ETF. The firm revealed in a <a href="https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1137360/000113736021001182/vvtgoldandbitcoinstrategye.htm" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Dec. 17 disclosure</a> that the planned actively managed offering would invest in gold and bitcoin futures contracts, gold-linked instruments, and exchange-traded products that provide exposure to gold or bitcoin.



“[People say] that bitcoin’s going to replace gold or bitcoin is the new gold or people hold bitcoin for the same reason that they hold gold, and I don’t think that’s true always,” Crigger said. “I think it’s interesting that they would pair those two together.”



Geraci added that VanEck could have difficulty marketing the product.&nbsp;



“Gold bugs and the bitcoin maxis tend to go at each other’s throats,” he said. “Who are you marketing to here?”



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DeFi

What Crypto-related ETFs Could Hit the US Market in 2022?

<div id="highlights-block_616d9d868025e" class="highlights">
 <ul>
 <li>Front-month bitcoin futures contracts have historically had high correlation to spot bitcoin market</li>
 <li>Industry watchers split on how much demand exists for futures-based bitcoin products as the SEC has not yet allowed physically backed offerings in the wrapper</li>
 </ul>
 
</div>



ProShares plans to launch a futures-based ETF — the first bitcoin-linked ETF in the US — on Tuesday, firm executives said, marking what the company called a milestone for the nascent asset class.&nbsp;



The ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) is actively managed and is set to invest in bitcoin futures contracts traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), according to the <a href="https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1174610/000168386321004445/f9424d1.htm" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">initial disclosure</a>. Though the first filing indicated that the fund may also invest in Canadian ETFs, <a href="https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1174610/000168386321006052/f10028d1.htm" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">an amended prospectus</a> filed Friday afternoon took out that portion.



The offering, which will be listed on NYSE, has an expense ratio of 95 basis points.&nbsp;



Although ETFs that invest in bitcoin directly still await the green light from regulators, the expected listing of a bitcoin futures-based ETF can offer investors exposure to bitcoin returns through a brokerage account.



The announcement comes after Bitwise Asset Management published research as part of a <a href="https://cms.blockworks.co/bitwise-tries-once-more-for-spot-bitcoin-etp/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">filing for a bitcoin ETF</a> last week showing that the CME bitcoin futures market leads price discovery compared to both spot bitcoin markets and offshore bitcoin derivatives exchanges.



“There’s lots of evidence that futures prices are a better place for discovery than spot and of course the regulated nature of the futures marketplace in terms of both the protections from manipulation and the clearinghouse for settlement,” ProShares Global Investment Strategist Simeon Hyman told Blockworks. “You put those belts along with the suspender of an ETF, and we think it’s a real robust solution.”



BITO is focused on investing in front-month contracts, Hyman added, which have historically had high correlation to spot bitcoin.



ProShares’ affiliate company, ProFunds, launched the <a href="https://cms.blockworks.co/profunds-launches-bitcoin-futures-strategy/">first bitcoin-linked mutual fund</a> in the US in July. Hyman, who noted that the futures-based mutual fund has returned 52% since inception through October 15, said the firm believes these products can coexist.&nbsp;



“We do think the use cases are similar but not entirely overlapping for both and there’s really an opportunity for a real convenient way to include this in their portfolios to now have a very effective solution,” he said.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What’s the demand?</h3>



Some question how well bitcoin futures ETFs will be received. Industry professionals have noted <a href="http://v">the downsides</a> to such products, including roll costs and contango — a situation when the futures price is above the expected future spot price.&nbsp;



Nate Geraci, president of The ETF Store, said that though he views futures-based ETFs as “suboptimal products,” there is significant pent-up demand among investors wishing to access bitcoin price exposure through traditional financial services plumbing.



“I expect these ETFs to experience sizable inflows and rocket up the leaderboard of top ETF launches this year,” he told Blockworks.



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">“While shorter-term traders will likely lean heavily on these ETFs, I wouldn’t be surprised to see longer-term investors jump in as well, despite the products’ flaws.”&nbsp;</blockquote>



But Noelle Acheson, head of market insights at Genesis Global Trading, is not as bullish on investor interest in bitcoin futures ETFs, arguing that the demand for bitcoin futures ETFs will likely be disappointing.&nbsp;



“These could be of interest to a limited audience of institutions that can’t hold spot or derivatives directly, as well as retail investors that prefer the familiarity and convenience of ETFs,” she said. “Most investors, however, are more likely to continue to access BTC exposure through spot or derivatives, or through any of the many listed securities or international funds that offer spot BTC exposure.”



Acheson added that disappointment from the bitcoin futures ETF listing could provoke a correction, noting that the market fell sharply after the listing of bitcoin futures contracts on the CME in December 2017 and the listing of Coinbase on Nasdaq in April.&nbsp;



“However, even if there is some sell-off, it is unlikely to be as deep or lasting as the previous examples because of where we are in the market cycle,” Acheson explained. “In both previous cases, the market was already frothy and showing signs of exhaustion — that is not the case this time around.”



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Who will be next?</h3>



Similar futures-based bitcoin products proposed by Valkyrie and Invesco, which were filed just after the ProShares offering, could also launch this week. <a href="https://cms.blockworks.co/valkyrie-files-8-a-in-key-step-for-bitcoin-futures-etf-approval/">Valkyrie filed</a> an <a href="https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1877493/000138713121010022/valk-8a12b_101521.htm" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">8-A with the SEC</a> on Friday, a form companies must complete before offering securities on an exchange.&nbsp;



Ed Lopez, head of ETF product for fund manager VanEck, told Blockworks on Friday that he hopes the firm will launch <a href="https://cms.blockworks.co/vaneck-files-for-bitcoin-strategy-etf/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">its proposed bitcoin strategy ETF</a> by the end of the month.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;



“The competition will be exceedingly fierce among bitcoin ETF issuers, with relentless fee cuts and aggressive marketing tactics becoming the status quo,” Geraci said.



He added that investors may have to wait awhile for a physically backed bitcoin ETF, as the SEC likely wants to ensure futures-based ETFs don’t experience any hiccups before allowing a spot offering.



The SEC did not immediately respond to Blockworks’ request for comment.&nbsp;&nbsp;



Grayscale Investments executives have expressed plans to convert the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) to an ETF. David LaValle, the firm’s head of ETFs, previously said the company was <a href="https://cms.blockworks.co/grayscale-urging-sec-to-approve-bitcoin-spot-futures-etfs-at-same-time/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">urging the SEC</a> to allow such a conversion at the same time that bitcoin futures ETFs were allowed to begin trading so as to maintain a “level playing field.”



Jennifer Rosenthal, the firm’s communications director, elaborated in a Twitter post Monday morning:



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="550" data-dnt="true">What does that mean? Once there’s official and verifiable evidence of the SEC’s comfort with the underlying <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Bitcoin</a> market &#8211; likely in the form of a Bitcoin Futures ETF being deemed effective &#8211; the <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/NYSE?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#NYSE</a> Arca will file a document called the 19b-4 to convert <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%24GBTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">$GBTC</a> into an ETF.&mdash; Jennifer Rosenthal (@jenn_rosenthal) <a href="https://twitter.com/jenn_rosenthal/status/1450085087467372548?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 18, 2021</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



ProShares declined to comment on whether it would look to also launch a spot bitcoin ETF.



“BITO will continue the legacy of ETFs that provide investors convenient, liquid access to an asset class,” ProShares CEO Michael Sapir said in a statement. “1993 is remembered for the first equity ETF, 2002 for the first bond ETF, and 2004 for the first gold ETF. 2021 will be remembered for the first cryptocurrency-linked ETF.”



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