Bitcoin, Ether Prices Strong as Markets Eye Easing Rate Hikes

Crypto and traditional equities are posting gains as sentiment shifts towards risk-on assets ahead of the next FOMC meeting

article-image

Source: Shutterstock.com/isak55, modified by Blockworks

share

Crypto markets have taken a brief reprieve after adding more than 30% to their collective capitalization since the start of the year.

Bellwether crypto bitcoin (BTC) rose to a peak of $23,360 on Saturday — its highest point in more than five months. BTC sat at $22,900 as of 7 am, ET.

NYDIG reported an influx of liquidations on short bitcoin positions over the 10 days leading up to Friday. 

“While the data shows these liquidations occurred during bitcoin’s biggest price moves, our conclusion is that while liquidations likely played a factor in the rally, they are unlikely to account for all of the recent price action,” the firm said in its newsletter.

Ether (ETH) also saw a major uplift, gaining 7% on Friday to finish at $1,650, where it now trades. BTC and ETH are both up around 37% year to date but remain flat over the past six months.

Ethereum developers have also begun shifting their focus to the Shanghai hard fork, the next major piece to the Merge roadmap, expected sometime in March. 

Digital assets’ total market value now sits at $1.08 trillion, up from $828.6 billion on Jan. 1.

Ethereum’s Shanghai upgrade, which will enable validators to finally withdraw their staked ether, should help bring better price parity for liquid staking derivatives, Blockworks analyst Ryan West said in a research note.

Traders should be aware short-term sell pressure may follow Shanghai’s launch as stakers look to lock in profits, he said. Mid-term price action may see a boost from new entrants eager to explore fresh staking opportunities.

Markets go risk on — for now

Appetite for risk-on assets across crypto and traditional equities has been buoyed by expectations of tightened US Federal Reserve monetary policy.

Market participants are likely pricing in the chance the Fed will shift its target rate hike by 25 basis points — down from its previous 50 and 75 basis point hikes — at the upcoming FOMC meeting on Feb. 1.

CME Group’s FedWatch tool is now flashing a 99.8% likelihood of that outcome, which would represent slowing in the Fed’s inflation-curbing strategy.

Digital assets have continued tracking traditional equities, which closed higher on Friday. The broad S&P 500 index rose 1.9% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 jumped 2.9%.

The 30-day correlation between the S&P 500 and bitcoin is also rising slightly after reaching one-year lows in late December.

A coefficient of one means the corresponding assets are completely aligned. A negative-one reading signals the opposite.

Eyeing the benchmark for Australian equity performance, the S&P/ASX 200 index rose 0.7%, or 5 basis points, to 7,457 on Monday. The index is now up more than 7% year to date.

The index, like most other majors across the globe, has consistently printed a higher high daily close for more than two weeks. Japan’s Nikkei 500 and Nikkei 225 indexes have both gained nearly 5% so far this year.

Markets across Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia and China were closed on Monday, courtesy of Lunar New Year celebrations.


Don’t miss the next big story – join our free daily newsletter.

Tags

Upcoming Events

Salt Lake City, UT

WED - FRI, OCTOBER 9 - 11, 2024

Pack your bags, anon — we’re heading west! Join us in the beautiful Salt Lake City for the third installment of Permissionless. Come for the alpha, stay for the fresh air. Permissionless III promises unforgettable panels, killer networking opportunities, and mountains […]

recent research

ao cover.jpg

Research

Arweave recently launched the testnet for AO computer, a new messaging protocol that will sit atop a PoS network and aims to become a scalable global compute platform through parallel processing and modularity.

article-image

Ore’s price more than tripled as the supply of new tokens paused

article-image

I spend an unhealthy amount of time thinking about crypto securities law — and I can’t see how ETH is now a securities offering under Howey

article-image

Regulators in South Korea, Japan and Singapore could follow Hong Kong’s lead as Asia responds to spot bitcoin ETF approval in the US

article-image

Martin Grant worked with the Fed for roughly 30 years before leaving his position in 2022

article-image

BitGo CEO Mike Belshe shared his thoughts on the halving and bitcoin ETFs in an interview with Blockworks

article-image

Crypto markets were largely the only ones open over a tense weekend, and they took a beating for it