Federal Reserve

Cuts to interest rates unlikely as officials weigh labor market data and Trump tariffs take effect

Latest PCE data inched down just slightly in January, but we remain a ways off from the Fed’s 2% target

January’s FOMC minutes shed light on what the Fed thinks about its bank reserves and its ongoing campaign of QT

A lot has changed in the six months since the Fed decided to cut rates

If yields move too much higher, recessionary fears could come back and send stocks go down

The unemployment rate has “stabilized” and the labor market is “solid,” officials said

Chinese AI startup DeepSeek spurred a $1 trillion rout in US and European tech stocks yesterday

Some were eyeing the $125,000 level for BTC at the end of 2024, while others did warn of a pullback

Over one year it felt like we’ve been through five different versions of the Fed

Reflecting on the two worlds I live in poses an interesting vignette

The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge showed that prices increased 0.2% from September and 2.3% annually

The latest data should assure investors that the Fed will continue on its easing path through the end of the year

There are a few possible outcomes now that Trump will be moving back to Washington in January

Odds of a second 25bps cut in December are now at 66%, according to CME Group

Markets are, unsurprisingly, still all but certain (96% sure) the Fed will opt for another 25bps interest rate cut next month

It’s crucial to look at the broad economy and not just the overnight rate that the Fed talks about

Despite short-term boost, Bybit executive warns investors of “potential challenges posed by economic uncertainty and market fluctuations”

The decision comes “in light of the progress on inflation and the balance of risks,” according to an FOMC statement

Some believe a rate cut of 50 basis points could spark investor fears of a recession and increase volatility. Others think differently.

Making sense of the jobs report that didn’t necessarily clear up what size of rate cut the Fed could opt for

Crypto advocacy group’s policy counsel notes the “coordinated attempt to choke off the digital asset industry’s access to the traditional banking system”

The unemployment rate will likely be the key driver of how much the Fed is going to cut rates in the upcoming September meeting

SOL climbed from around $144 to over $160 when Jerome Powell said “the time has come” for interest rate cuts

The fund category saw $252 million of net inflows on Friday alone — the day of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s “dovish” speech in Jackson Hole