Crypto Rallies on Bad-As-Expected Inflation Data

Prices rose 7% over the last 12 months, showing that inflation is slow to ease

article-image

Blockworks exclusive art by Axel Rangel

share

key takeaways

  • Bitcoin and ethereum rallied early Wednesday after CPI data showed inflation rise in line with expectations
  • Crypto and equities markets have mostly already priced in rate hikes and inflationary pressures, analysts say

Bitcoin and ethereum saw morning gains Wednesday following the release of December’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which revealed that inflation is rising on par with expectations. 

After weeks of losses, bitcoin rallied above $44,000 and ethereum rose above $3,300 Wednesday before 9:00 am EST before paring gains later in the morning. 

“It’s not a surprise that we’re seeing the crypto markets react favorably in the wake of the highest annual inflation rate in almost 40 years,” said John Nahas, vice president of business development at Ava Labs. “These markets are 24/7, highly liquid, and have long been positioned as an asset class with hedging potential against portfolios that are more subject to easy money policies adopted by Central Banks over the past few years.”

For the first time since 1982, the CPI rose 7% year-over-year in December for all items, according to Wednesday’s report. The reading, while in line with analysts’ expectations, shows that supply chain challenges, labor shortages and the ongoing pandemic have prolonged higher prices far longer than policymakers originally anticipated. 

CPI chart
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, DECEMBER 2021. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Equities opened higher with the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 rallying as much as 0.7% and 0.9%, respectively, before falling later in the session.  

The report comes one day after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell appeared before lawmakers Tuesday to discuss central bank actions and defend his current position. 

“In the near term, ‘hawkish fears’ of the Fed likely have peaked,” wrote Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, in a recent note. “The market is now pricing in one, a March rate hike, two, four rate hikes total in 2022 and three, possible balance sheet reduction sometime in the second half of 2022.” 


Start your day with top crypto insights from David Canellis and Katherine Ross. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter.

Explore the growing intersection between crypto, macroeconomics, policy and finance with Ben Strack, Casey Wagner and Felix Jauvin. Subscribe to the Forward Guidance newsletter.

Get alpha directly in your inbox with the 0xResearch newsletter — market highlights, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, and more.

The Lightspeed newsletter is all things Solana, in your inbox, every day. Subscribe to daily Solana news from Jack Kubinec and Jeff Albus.

Tags

Upcoming Events

Javits Center North | 445 11th Ave

Tues - Thurs, March 18 - 20, 2025

Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit (DAS) will feature conversations between the builders, allocators, and legislators who will shape the trajectory of the digital asset ecosystem in the US and abroad.

Brooklyn, NY

TUES - THURS, JUNE 24 - 26, 2025

Permissionless IV serves as the definitive gathering for crypto’s technical founders, developers, and builders to come together and create the future.If you’re ready to shape the future of crypto, Permissionless IV is where it happens.

Old Billingsgate

Mon - Wed, October 13 - 15, 2025

Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit (DAS) will feature conversations between the builders, allocators, and legislators who will shape the trajectory of the digital asset ecosystem in the US and abroad.

recent research

Flashnote Template (6).png

Research

Trading of the President's TRUMP memecoin sent the market capitalization to over $15B, resulting in all-time highs for Solana’s Real Economic Value, DEX volumes, and stablecoin supply. This event further validates Solana as the venue for high-throughput onchain activity, with Solana DEXs and DeFi applications as primary beneficiaries, while also signaling to further experimentation, utilization, and adoption of memecoins as legitimate financial instruments for speculation, crowdfunding, or capital formation. President Trump’s continued willingness to experiment in crypto reaffirms a highly-favorable political and regulatory climate for the industry.

article-image

Back in 2021, there were really only two memecoins and both hit enormous peaks along with BTC

article-image

Polygon Labs CEO Marc Boiron thinks that yield-bearing stablecoins could be the next big narrative

article-image

A Nova Labs exec referred to the last-day lawsuit “as irresponsible as it is wrong-headed”

article-image

Corresponding resolutions were introduced to “roll back the disastrous” rule requiring custodial brokers to report transactions

article-image

Donald Trump has slightly backed off from the ambitious tariff goals he touted on the campaign trail

article-image

Some have called it “a relief” that the task force will be led by the crypto-friendly Hester Peirce