Cheatsheet: ETH/BTC trending higher, propelling DeFi TVL

Ether, while still about 20% away from an all-time high, has been accelerating in recent days, relative to bitcoin

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This is Cheatsheet, a primer on what’s happening in crypto today.

All quiet on the bitcoin front, as BTC has traded in a 2% range over the past 24 hours.

Ether, on the other hand, has pushed well past its Wednesday high of $3,900, and looks poised to crack above $4,000 for the first time since late December 2021.

Most of Friday’s market leaders are once again in the memecoin category, with 20% or more moves higher from FLOKI, WIF and PEPE.

A smattering of political-themed memes are doing well in the wake of President Biden’s State of the Union speech, none of which came near the crypto industry. Read into that what you will.

As a category, Options protocols are surging, up 23% alongside fractionalized NFTs.

On-chain mail

Over the past week, the market capitalization of the DeFi sector exceeded $100 billion for the first time since May 2022. This sector, now increasingly known as Onchain Finance, holds the distinction of being crypto’s largest single category by number of tokens.

The resurgence comes as the collective TVL of DeFi similarly knocks on the door of the $100 billion mark, up 44% since the start of the year.

Much of that can be attributed to the rise of ether (ETH) — up 40% year-to-date — which accounts for the lionshare of value locked in the top 4 protocols: Lido, EigenLayer, Aave and Maker.

DeFi TVL remains $90 billion away from its November 2021 all-time high of $189 billion.

Crypto business

Bitcoin (BTC) may have yet to retest Tuesday’s all-time mark above $69,000, but Coinbase (COIN) has continued to press higher in the intervening days.

It’s set to open right at Thursday’s closing price of $242.63 as of 8:00 am ET.

  • MicroStrategy (MSTR) looks set to open back above $1,300, fully recovering from Tuesday’s spill.
  • GBTC outflows notched another $300 million plus day Thursday, but among all bitcoin ETFs, inflows were a healthy $472 million.
  • Tesla, which has the third-largest bitcoin holdings according to BitcoinTreasuries.net can now be tracked on the blockchain per Arkham Intelligence.

Read more: GBTC net outflows reach $10 billion two months after ETF conversion

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Research

With the recent election, it’s clear that there will be a meaningful shift in crypto regulations and legislation. Trump is likely as pro-crypto as a president can be. He launched (multiple) of his own NFT collections and is launching an Aave wrapper called World Liberty Fi. He has also spoken out and mentioned that he wants to make the United States "the crypto capital of the planet" and transform it into the "Bitcoin superpower of the world". He proposed creating a strategic national Bitcoin stockpile alongside support from Senator Cynthia Lummis, promising to retain 100% of all Bitcoin held by the U.S. government. More importantly, we’re likely to see deregulation across the board in a lot of industries, with crypto being one of them - as Trump has committed to keeping the crypto market largely unregulated. Crypto, DeFi in particular, has historically been knee-capped by overreaching and hostile governmental agencies and regulation by enforcement, as evidenced by the plethora of Wells notices and lawsuits over the past few years. With Donald Trump winning the presidency, Republicans taking control of the Senate, and being on the verge of securing the House, we think it’s likely that crypto realizes positive regulatory clarity. Below, you can find our analysts’ takes:

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