Cheatsheet: Crypto short sellers losing $110K per minute

Bitcoin is whiskers away from an all-time high, setting crypto and its markets up for an exciting week ahead

article-image

Art by Crystal Le

share

This is Cheatsheet, a primer on what’s happening in crypto today.

If dog coins were barking before, now they’re really biting.

Six of the eight best performing cryptocurrencies at the top end of the market are memecoins, and four of those are dog coins.

Pepe (PEPE) leads with 38% gains as of 5 am ET, followed by bonk (BONK), shiba inu (SHIB), dogecoin (DOGE), floki (FLOKI) and SATS, each up between 34% and 13% over 24 hours.

Fantom (FTM) and BitTorrent (BTT) are somewhere in between. Bitcoin (BTC) is meanwhile up 5.7% after inching back above $65,100 — less than 6% shy of its $69,044 all-time high. 

Ether (ETH) is ahead 3% and hovers at $3,500 flat. The ETH/BTC, which measures ether’s price in terms of bitcoin, has given up most of its gains last month and could soon turn negative for the year to date.

What’s happening on-chain

Bitcoin’s fledgling DeFi ecosystem is attracting serious capital — and degeneracy. 

  • Flipped: Bitcoin DeFi now ranks above Solana, Polygon and Avalanche for total value locked (TVL).
  • Flooded: Bitcoin’s TVL, now $2.65 billion, has exploded by almost 800% over the past month as the crypto climbed by half.
  • Fandangled: Almost all of it is tied up in “staking events” for two unreleased layer-2 projects, Merlin’s Seal and B2 Buzz.

Interest in Bitcoin as a base layer for stuff other than BTC has bubbled since the NFT-like Ordinals took off last January. Merlin’s Seal and B2 Buzz are part of a crop of projects rushing to capitalize on that hype. 

Unlike the crypto staked in liquidity pools and debt protocols like Orca and Maker, Bitcoin’s current big-two are popular with those chasing allocations of a token sale. Distributions are to be generally scaled to how much has been staked, echoing recently-launched Ethereum layer-2 Blast.

Bitcoin has a number of adjacent protocols already live, including payments layer Lightning, Rootstock, Liquid, Stacks and DeFiChain. Wide differences in tokenomics, technology and terminology has led Bitcoin Magazine to define what it considers an actual “Bitcoin protocol” moving forward, including the use of bitcoin as the native asset.

Ether is still outperforming Nvidia stock over the past five years 

Read more: Ordinals are driving up Bitcoin fees — but that may be good for the network

  • DEX volumes have cooled somewhat since last week: $6.5 billion over the past day, down 30% from last Wednesday’s near-yearly high of $9.45 billion.
  • Solana DEX Raydium flipped BSC’s PancakeSwap for daily volume after posting $799 million, second overall behind Uniswap.
  • Tether is only $300 million fresh supply away from becoming only the fifth cryptocurrency to ever reach a $100 billion market cap.

Crypto business

Practically every crypto stock is set to open higher this week — except China-headquartered BIT Mining, which had slipped 3% pre-market as of 5 am ET.

  • Bhu-tane: Bitdeer (BTDR), the Bitmain spinoff operating bitcoin mines in Bhutan and the US, is on track to open 11% higher than Friday’s close.
  • Electric: CleanSpark (CLSK) continues to outperform, climbing 9.1% pre-market. Rival Riot is up less than 5%.
  • More like Macro: MicroStrategy (MSTR) has now eclipsed CLSK for year-to-date returns, now the number-one crypto stock this year with 85.5%.

MicroStrategy’s market value is no longer mostly bitcoin. The stock is currently worth $18.32 billion with $12.54 billion BTC on its balance sheet and liabilities worth $2.53 billion — meaning markets either value its software business as much as $9.4 billion, or they’re adding premium to its bitcoin-stacking strategy.

And while Bitcoin may be closer than ever to retesting 2021’s high, January’s “sell the news” event around the launch of bitcoin ETFs has dragged heavily on most mining stocks.

Only four bitcoin miners have outperformed the S&P 500’s 7.9% returns so far this year: CLSK, Marathon (MARA), Core Scientific (CORZ) and Bitfarms (BITF).

Read more: EIA to drop emergency bitcoin miner survey following court battle

  • Liquidations worth $262.3 million have struck crypto derivatives traders over the past day, 60% of it hitting short sellers.
  • On average, that’s $110,000 lost per minute on short bets, with BitMEX’s dogecoin market seeing the largest recent liquidation ($2.45 million).
  • Overall CEX open interest is again at all-time high, now $28.92 billion.

On the ground

Loading Tweet..
European Counter-signal Bank
Loading Tweet..
This is what peak performance looks like
Loading Tweet..
Devs do something (pay our fees)

Start your day with top crypto insights from David Canellis and Katherine Ross. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter.

Explore the growing intersection between crypto, macroeconomics, policy and finance with Ben Strack, Casey Wagner and Felix Jauvin. Subscribe to the Forward Guidance newsletter.

Get alpha directly in your inbox with the 0xResearch newsletter — market highlights, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, and more.

The Lightspeed newsletter is all things Solana, in your inbox, every day. Subscribe to daily Solana news from Jack Kubinec and Jeff Albus.

Tags

Upcoming Events

Javits Center North | 445 11th Ave

Tues - Thurs, March 18 - 20, 2025

Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit (DAS) will feature conversations between the builders, allocators, and legislators who will shape the trajectory of the digital asset ecosystem in the US and abroad.

recent research

Flashnote Template Presentation (2).jpg

Research

With the recent election, it’s clear that there will be a meaningful shift in crypto regulations and legislation. Trump is likely as pro-crypto as a president can be. He launched (multiple) of his own NFT collections and is launching an Aave wrapper called World Liberty Fi. He has also spoken out and mentioned that he wants to make the United States "the crypto capital of the planet" and transform it into the "Bitcoin superpower of the world". He proposed creating a strategic national Bitcoin stockpile alongside support from Senator Cynthia Lummis, promising to retain 100% of all Bitcoin held by the U.S. government. More importantly, we’re likely to see deregulation across the board in a lot of industries, with crypto being one of them - as Trump has committed to keeping the crypto market largely unregulated. Crypto, DeFi in particular, has historically been knee-capped by overreaching and hostile governmental agencies and regulation by enforcement, as evidenced by the plethora of Wells notices and lawsuits over the past few years. With Donald Trump winning the presidency, Republicans taking control of the Senate, and being on the verge of securing the House, we think it’s likely that crypto realizes positive regulatory clarity. Below, you can find our analysts’ takes:

article-image

Solana is the crowd favorite to potentially flip Ethereum somewhere down the line, and it tends to feel realistic at times

article-image

Of course, a lot has happened since the 600+ survey respondents shared their thoughts between Aug. 15 and Oct. 1

article-image

AI’s future shouldn’t be decided by a handful of tech giants

article-image

A look at software wallet Exodus may show how an SEC shakeup could have a real impact on industry companies

article-image

Co-chairing Trump’s transition team to help fill administration positions is Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick

article-image

Reflect is a delta-neutral currency protocol that lets tokens accrue yield without touching the banking system