Stocks stay on recovery path amid tariff risks, disappointing data

The S&P 500 was mostly flat after a month of losses, and the Nasdaq has been slowly gaining

article-image

BEST-BACKGROUNDS/Shutterstock and Adobe modified by Blockworks

share

This is a segment from the Forward Guidance newsletter. To read full editions, subscribe.


US stocks inched into the green before dipping midway through Tuesday’s session, as investors shrugged off additional tariff announcements and disappointing economic news. 

The S&P 500 was mostly flat at 2 pm ET, down 0.05%. The Nasdaq Composite had gained 0.2%. 

The moves follow one of the fastest-ever declines in US equities. Between mid-February and mid-March, the S&P 500 managed to erase two years of gains. The index’s 10% decline from a record high earlier this year is the seventh-fastest drop in history. 

The Nasdaq Composite hasn’t seen a record since December 2024, and is currently down more than 5% year to date. But like the S&P 500, it has slowly been clawing back losses in recent days. 

The moves come as more tariff updates come in from Washington. President Trump yesterday announced new tariffs of 25% on any goods from countries that import Venezuelan oil, both directly and indirectly. 

The levies go into effect on April 2. Trump, however, also added that he “may give a lot of countries a break,” which presumably calmed investors enough to keep this recovery on track. Additional tariffs on cars, pharmaceuticals and other industries are also expected to be announced soon, the White House said. 

US consumer confidence data was also released Tuesday morning. If you are a US consumer, you probably weren’t surprised to see that confidence once again fell. The index is now at a 12-month low. 

The big catalyst for markets (assuming we don’t get any serious news from the White House, which is always a possibility) will come on Friday, when February’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report drops. Analysts are expecting annual inflation to remain unchanged from January at 2.5%. We doubt Jay Powell is getting much sleep this week.


Get the news in your inbox. Explore Blockworks newsletters:

Tags

Decoding crypto and the markets. Daily, with Byron Gilliam.

Upcoming Events

Javits Center North | 445 11th Ave

Tues - Thurs, March 24 - 26, 2026

Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit (DAS) will feature conversations between the builders, allocators, and legislators who will shape the trajectory of the digital asset ecosystem in the US and abroad.

recent research

Research Report Templates (8).png

Research

Kinetiq has established itself as Hyperliquid's dominant liquid staking protocol, holding 82.5% of LST market share with $610M in TVL. The protocol is now expanding beyond its kHYPE staking core into higher take-rate verticals: iHYPE for institutional custody rails, Launch for HIP-3 capital formation, and Markets for builder-deployed perpetuals. We view Markets, launching Jan. 12, as the highest-potential product line given its mechanically scalable, activity-linked unit economics. Near-term revenue remains anchored by kHYPE's KIP-2 fee schedule (~$1.6M annualized), while Markets provides embedded optionality if HIP-3 economics normalize post-Growth Mode. KNTQ's setup is relatively clean: zero insider unlocks until November 2026, 6.2% buyback yield from staking revenue, and cleared airdrop overhang. Risks center on unproven Markets execution, declining kHYPE TVL despite ongoing incentives, and competition from Hyperliquid's native initiatives.

article-image

BTC finished the week up 1.6%, while L2s, RWAs and the treasury trade continued to grind lower

article-image

DTCC moves DTC-custodied Treasuries onchain via Canton, while Lighter’s LIT launches trading at a fees multiple in Hyperliquid territory

article-image

In the 90s, rapt audiences worldwide watched a coffee pot — will that fascination ever turn to crypto?

article-image

Some systems improve by failing — and crypto has no choice

article-image

Yield Basis introduces an IL-free AMM design that already dominates BTC DEX liquidity

article-image

Maybe tokenholders don’t need the rights that corporate shareholders have come to expect

Newsletter

The Breakdown

Decoding crypto and the markets. Daily, with Byron Gilliam.

Blockworks Research

Unlock crypto's most powerful research platform.

Our research packs a punch and gives you actionable takeaways for each topic.

SubscribeGet in touch

Blockworks Inc.

133 W 19th St., New York, NY 10011

Blockworks Network

NewsPodcastsNewslettersEventsRoundtablesAnalytics