Bitcoin holders slip under water, on-chain metrics show

Some on-chain Bitcoin metrics reflect sellers’ first concerted effort in two weeks as broader market wobbles

article-image

DUSAN ZIDAR / Shutterstock, modified by Blockworks

share

The world’s largest digital asset dipped 2.9% to $28,300 by late evening ET before clawing back some losses to current levels near $23,600, data shows. Several on-chain metrics have also dipped bearish.

The net unrealized profit/loss (NUPL) metric, which measures the difference between the current market price of bitcoin and the price at which coins were last purchased, fell to 0.307, its lowest level since July 7, Glassnode data shows. 

A drop lower suggests a significant number of holders are now underwater. The small move Wednesday comes following a period of disinterest as delays in spot ETFs are predicted until next year.

Meanwhile, futures contracts long liquidations, which measure the amount of money lost by traders who have bet on the price of bitcoin rising in the derivatives market, also reached a one-month high of $2.5 million on Binance. 

Some signs of life have been observed with the open interest in futures on Bybit reaching a 16-month high of $2.8 billion, though, even still, the markets remain relatively quiet.

“On-chain flows and extended supply assessments indicate passive market participants throughout the year,” digital assets brokerage K33 said in a recent research note.

Also, Thursday, the MVRV Z-Score, which measures the deviation of bitcoin’s price from its historical average, fell to a 1-month low of 0.611, suggesting the asset is currently trading below its historical average — a potential sign of oversold conditions.

Exchanges and various investment vehicles, including tokenized platforms or traditional brokers, are currently holding roughly 3.5 million BTC, with exchange balances at a multi-year low. The implication is that market liquidity is somewhat constrained, K33 added.

Limited liquidity could enhance the likelihood of more pronounced volatility once the market regains momentum, it said. On-chain activity for bitcoin has also continued to slow, with median transaction volume over seven days falling to one-month lows of $153, Glassnode data shows.


Start your day with top crypto insights from David Canellis and Katherine Ross. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter.

Explore the growing intersection between crypto, macroeconomics, policy and finance with Ben Strack, Casey Wagner and Felix Jauvin. Subscribe to the On the Margin newsletter.

The Lightspeed newsletter is all things Solana, in your inbox, every day. Subscribe to daily Solana news from Jack Kubinec and Jeff Albus.

Tags

Upcoming Events

Salt Lake City, UT

MON - TUES, OCT. 7 - 8, 2024

Blockworks and Bankless in collaboration with buidlbox are excited to announce the second installment of the Permissionless Hackathon – taking place October 7-8 in Salt Lake City, Utah. We’ve partnered with buidlbox to bring together the brightest minds in crypto for […]

Salt Lake City, UT

WED - FRI, OCTOBER 9 - 11, 2024

Permissionless is a conference for founders, application developers, and users. Come meet the next generation of people building and using crypto.

recent research

Research Report Templates (1).png

Research

Solana Mobile is a highly ambitious foray into the mobile consumer hardware market, seeking to open up a crypto-native distribution channel for mobile-first applications. The market for Solana Mobile devices has demonstrated a phenomenon whereby external market actors (e.g. Solana-native projects) continuously underwrite subsidies to Mobile consumers. The value of these subsidies, coming in the form of airdrops, trial programs, and exclusive NFT mints, have consistently covered the cost of the phone and generated positive returns for consumers. Given this trend in subsidies, the unit economics in the market for Mobile devices, and the initial growth rate and trajectory of sales, it should be expected that Solana mobile can clear 1M to 10M units over the coming years. As more devices circulate amongst users, Solana Mobile presents a promising venue for the emergence of killer-applications uniquely enabled by this mobile-first, crypto-native distribution channel.

article-image

Crypto’s Wild West era is over — it’s time to embrace regulation to secure the future of digital assets

article-image

Plus, Solana has now surpassed Ethereum in trailing 30-day decentralized exchange volume

article-image

Polymarket betters say Kamala Harris has better odds than Biden of winning against Trump

article-image

Bitcoin’s down Tuesday, while ETH-correlated assets like ENS and ARB see growth

article-image

Plus, let’s check on the nine ether ETFs now trading on US exchanges