Crypto markets offer ‘strong momentum opportunities’: Kaiko

A popular equity investing strategy, which considers network effects, is paying off for this crypto index

article-image

Kevin McGovern/Shutterstock modified by Blockworks

share

This is a segment from the Empire newsletter. To read full editions, subscribe.


Crypto markets have a natural tilt towards momentum investing, a fairly popular tactic in equities. 

But is it worth it? 

A recent Kaiko report delved into the subject, which I admittedly hadn’t really considered in a crypto context. But as the report points out: “Crypto markets, driven by sentiment and network effects, offer strong momentum opportunities. Network effects drive value by attracting more users, developers, miners, and investors, reinforcing growth and adoption.”

The team put together the Vinter Hashdex Risk Parity Momentum Index, which backs the Momentum Factor ETP offered by Hashdex. Kaiko’s Adam McCarthy noted that they distributed risk in this approach to prevent a single asset from weighing over 30%. 

Oh, and if you’re not so sure about this yet, keep in mind it’s been a few years of the team keeping an eye on this. 

Source: Kaiko Custom Indices, VHASHMOM & Kaiko Benchmark Rates, BRR

While I’m not necessarily surprised by the sizable beat the index had over bitcoin last cycle, I am slightly surprised that the index was able to stay on top of bitcoin during this cycle — especially as we watched the bull take off like it was participating in the Running of the Bulls. 

As of February, Bitcoin has the largest weighting, which should come as no surprise. Then you have litecoin, XRP, and tron. 

A look at some of the more popular assets. Source: Kaiko Custom Indices, VHASHMOM

Taking rebalancing into account here, litecoin is actually a big outperformer, “benefiting from increased anticipation of a potential ETF approval, leading to a higher allocation.”

“Polkadot, which is preparing for a major 2025 upgrade aimed at enhancing scalability, flexibility, and developer accessibility, has also gained traction.”

Going back to the index’s performance, there is a question about the longevity of this strategy. Especially in a market like the one we’re currently in, where the macro environment takes center stage even if there are plenty of reasons to be bullish on the industry. 

“In 2025, crypto-specific narratives, such as growing institutional adoption and a friendlier regulatory environment, could provide tailwinds for crypto momentum strategies, even as equity momentum shows signs of exhaustion,” McCarthy wrote.

The report notes that it was fairly successful in “identifying and capturing returns from emerging winners” instead of going with the flow and trying to keep up with trends. 

The “ability to rotate capital into promising opportunities, while maintaining diversification, represents a dynamic approach to momentum investing in digital assets.”

What I’m personally curious about is how this strategy compares to a more fundamental-based strategy as that develops this cycle. 

Clearly, momentum’s paid off so far…but as the market matures, I wonder if it’ll continue to be such an out-performer.  


Get the news in your inbox. Explore Blockworks newsletters:

Tags

Decoding crypto and the markets. Daily, with Byron Gilliam.

Upcoming Events

Old Billingsgate

Mon - Wed, October 13 - 15, 2025

Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit (DAS) will feature conversations between the builders, allocators, and legislators who will shape the trajectory of the digital asset ecosystem in the US and abroad.

recent research

Unlocked by Template (11).png

Research

Union’s technical design brings measured improvements to crosschain interoperability. By combining a consensus-verified hub with novel constructs like state lenses and ZK proofs for client updates, Union achieves an interoperability protocol that is highly performant, trust-minimized, and scalable.

article-image

Commerce plans transparent, tamper‑resistant data distribution via blockchain for economic metrics

by Blockworks /
article-image

It’s unclear whether the celeb ever knew about the account made using his name

article-image

Sharps Technology raised $400 million in PIPE offering

article-image

Offchain Labs’ Tandem will work exclusively with Succinct on a zkVM

article-image

Fundstrat’s chief investment officer may be the apex bull

article-image

MetaMask now lets users create and restore wallets via social accounts

by Blockworks /