Kraken’s Dan Held: Bitcoin Market Cap Could Settle Between $50T and $150T

Crypto asset hit $1 trillion market cap again this week as price rose above $55,000.

article-image

Trust Machines adviser Dan Held

share

key takeaways

  • Bitcoin has similar characteristics as a store of value asset to real estate, which has a $250 trillion market cap, Held said
  • Bitcoin’s market cap represents nearly half of the overall crypto market

Though bitcoin’s market cap hit $1 trillion again during its latest price rally, Kraken Growth Marketing Director Dan Held said Wednesday that number is a small fraction of the crypto asset’s total addressable market.

“I think it’s very reasonable to see bitcoin in that $50 trillion to $150 trillion market cap size in its final existence if bitcoin succeeds as a global reserve currency, or gold 2.0,” Held said during CoinDesk’s virtual Bitcoin for Advisors event.

Gold’s market capitalization is currently about $10 trillion, while all fiat money is roughly $60 trillion, the Kraken executive noted. 

Real estate, which Held called a “quintessential store-of-value asset across the world,” carries a market cap of about $250 trillion globally.

“If there’s someone who’s wanting to park $10 million in a property in London, they’re parking that into real estate because of a lot of similar principles [as bitcoin] — fixed supply, or a semi-constrained supply, strong property rights,” he said. 

Bitcoin’s market capitalization was at about $1.04 trillion as of 5:00 pm ET Wednesday upon its price eclipsing $55,000, according to CoinGecko data. The global cryptocurrency market cap stands at about $2.4 trillion, with Ethereum’s $425 billion market cap being the second highest in the space. 

Held leads growth marketing at Kraken, the largest crypto exchange by euro trading volumes. He formerly worked at Interchange, a portfolio reconciliation tool for crypto institutional traders that Kraken acquired in 2019. 

His comments come after other industry executives have made bullish predictions about the growth of the crypto market. 

​​Pantera Capital CEO Dan Morehead said during a panel at Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit last month that the overall cryptocurrency market capitalization could hit $40 trillion in five years. While he noted that bitcoin could grow by 10 times during that span, Morehead expects other crypto segments to go up even more.

Morehead said in Pantera’s latest investment letter on Wednesday that “we’re in a new bull market.”

Held also called unit bias — the concept that investors would rather buy a whole unit of a given currency instead of a fractional quantity — a problem during the virtual panel. 

“The price is relatively meaningless unless we know how many units are out there, so we should look at market cap,” Held said. “At a $1 trillion market cap, bitcoin is very undervalued.”

Tags

Upcoming Events

Hilton Metropole | 225 Edgware Rd, London

Mon - Wed, March 18 - 20, 2024

Crypto’s premier institutional conference returns to London in March 2024. The DAS: London Experience: Attend expert-led panel discussions and fireside chats Hear the latest developments regarding the crypto and digital asset regulatory environment directly from policymakers and experts.

Salt Lake City, UT

WED - FRI, OCTOBER 9 - 11, 2024

Pack your bags, anon — we’re heading west! Join us in the beautiful Salt Lake City for the third installment of Permissionless. Come for the alpha, stay for the fresh air. Permissionless III promises unforgettable panels, killer networking opportunities, and mountains […]

recent research

Top Icon.png

Research

Osmosis thrived in H2 2023 on the back of increased DeFi activity deriving from recently launched Cosmos-related projects and better market conditions. With new value accrual mechanisms for the native token, Osmosis is well-positioned to continue its strong performance in 2024.

/

article-image

Snowflake, a cloud-based data warehouse solution, has partnered with Dune to make curated blockchain data available to its clients

article-image

Crypto is fast and it’s only getting faster as bitcoin threatens to retest its own highs set more than two years ago

article-image

The settlement ends the legal battle over eth.link, a domain once owned by imprisoned developer Virgil Griffith

article-image

TBC President Lee Bratcher told Blockworks he’s “confident” about the Council’s case against the DOE

article-image

The Monday trading volumes total passes the previous high mark set on the fund’s first day of trading nearly seven weeks ago

article-image

The hearings are expected to last for a couple of days as the court hears arguments for and against the bankruptcy plan proposed by Genesis