Interest Rates

Going into an FOMC meeting, a constellation of factors come together to affect the event’s price outcome

We’re still a few days out from the “Santa rally window,” but a breakout in equities and crypto could be imminent

Reflecting on the two worlds I live in poses an interesting vignette

Analysts are anticipating November’s annual CPI figure to come in at 2.7%, a moderate uptick from October

There’s a lot of confusion as to why the Fed might still be cutting rates despite what looks to be an economy doing pretty well

The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge showed that prices increased 0.2% from September and 2.3% annually

Odds of a second 25bps cut in December are now at 66%, according to CME Group

With respect to today’s FOMC meeting, Powell needs to carefully consider where he wants to attempt guiding yields

Fed funds futures markets were pricing in a 99.2% likelihood that the committee announces a 25bps cut tomorrow

Historically, positive returns have been a bit more of a toss-up during the year’s 11th month

August’s annual headline figure came in at 2.3% after an upward revision Thursday, so things are moving in the right direction 

Markets are, unsurprisingly, still all but certain (96% sure) the Fed will opt for another 25bps interest rate cut next month

It’s crucial to look at the broad economy and not just the overnight rate that the Fed talks about

Plus, there’s a glaring question many in the crypto community want Kamala Harris to address

Today’s data points further solidify the notion that the economy is largely doing okay

Plus, hotter-than-expected inflation data this week stirs uncertainty about November rate cut possibilities

Various factors are likely to temper strong jobs data-spurred optimism in the short term, industry watchers say

Plus, checking in on crypto product development

Latest stats from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reinforce expectations of a continued dovish policy stance, analysts say

Plus, how Democrats are slowly shifting on crypto policy

How have central banks reacted to the US Federal Reserve lowering interest rates for the first time in more than four years?

Despite short-term boost, Bybit executive warns investors of “potential challenges posed by economic uncertainty and market fluctuations”

Plus, Trump’s purchase of burgers and diet cokes with $950 worth of BTC

Bitcoin’s price saw a bump above $60,700 in the minutes following the rate cut announcement