Data Round Up: What Jobless Claims, GDP Mean for the Fed

Weekly initial jobless claims and gross domestic product growth rates were released Thursday as economists and consumers await Friday’s core personal consumption expenditures data.

article-image

Source: Shutterstock

share

key takeaways

  • Following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s mildly hawkish remarks last week, all eyes are jobless claims and GDP numbers
  • Ongoing state benefits continuing claims decreased by 144,000 in the week ended June 12 to 3.4 million.

Following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s mildly hawkish remarks last week, all eyes are on economic data. Weekly initial jobless claims and gross domestic product growth rates were released Thursday as economists and consumers await Friday’s core personal consumption expenditures data. 

Fewer Americans, but still more than anticipated, submitted unemployment benefit applications last week, showing that the labor market is slowly inching toward recovery. Initial claims for regular state unemployment programs fell by 7,000 to 411,000 in the week ended June 19, Labor Department data showed. Economists had predicted 400,000 initial jobless claims. 

Jobless claims have fallen considerably since the start of the year as vaccine distribution picks up and businesses across the country return to full capacity. Even as the unemployment rate remains elevated, companies are struggling to fill a record 9.8 million job openings. 

Jobless claims as of June 24, 2021
Source: Bloomberg

Many businesses have resorted to offering incentives and perks for new hires. McDonanld’s implemented a program that gifts new employees a free iPhone if they stay on for six months. American restaurant chains like White Castle and Chipotle have raised hourly wages in an attempt to lure employees. 

The debate over whether or not enhanced unemployment benefits are discouraging laborers from returning to work rages on. Many states, including Missouri, Mississippi and Iowa put a stop to enhanced programs in an effort to fill labor shortages. When questioned about the topic during his congressional testimony Tuesday, Powell declined to side one way or another, but did admit that benefits may be playing “some role” in labor issues. 

Ongoing state benefits continuing claims decreased by 144,000 in the week ended June 12 to 3.4 million.

Gross domestic product data was also released Thursday. The American economy grew at a rate of 6.4% last quarter, unchanged from estimates released in May, according to data from the Commerce Department. Some economists say this may be the strongest year in seven decades. 

Economists predict that economic growth has continued to surge in the current quarter, ending this month, citing vaccinations and reopening efforts. Consumers armed with nearly $3 trillion in economic support are ready to resuming spending activity, which has increased since December. 

Tags

Upcoming Events

Javits Center North | 445 11th Ave

Tues - Thurs, March 18 - 20, 2025

Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit (DAS) will feature conversations between the builders, allocators, and legislators who will shape the trajectory of the digital asset ecosystem in the US and abroad.

Industry City | Brooklyn, NY

TUES - THURS, JUNE 24 - 26, 2025

Permissionless IV serves as the definitive gathering for crypto’s technical founders, developers, and builders to come together and create the future.If you’re ready to shape the future of crypto, Permissionless IV is where it happens.

Old Billingsgate

Mon - Wed, October 13 - 15, 2025

Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit (DAS) will feature conversations between the builders, allocators, and legislators who will shape the trajectory of the digital asset ecosystem in the US and abroad.

recent research

Unlocked by Template (4).png

Research

Wormhole Settlement allows for a highly scalable liquidity venue to fill user intents into a multichain, multi-VM future. By concentrating solvers’ balance sheets on Solana, transaction costs associated with solvers rebalancing inventory across destinations are eliminated. With the ability to settle bridging, swapping, and arbitrary interactions, without the costs and frictions of fragmenting solver liquidity, Wormhole Settlement has the opportunity to settle a large share of volumes in the crosschain interoperability market with a beneficial framework for both users and solvers. 

article-image

Having passed Congress, the resolution will now head to Trump’s desk

article-image

This $1.5 trillion fund manager’s altcoin ETF proposal is one of several the SEC is weighing

article-image

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said tariffs are “worth it” even if they plunge the US economy into recession territory

article-image

Anterris is cancelled, and the fate of Evaverse doesn’t look great

article-image

Layer-2 Movement finally launched its mainnet yesterday

article-image

A new report from Dragonfly suggests that US users were geoblocked from billions in potential revenue